Needed: A fiscal framework.

نویسنده

  • Jeffrey D Sachs
چکیده

fi scal stimulus package centered on " bang for the buck, " that is, on whether tax cuts or spending increases would produce more jobs. This limited perspective is very misleading, however: the choice of spending versus taxes should turn fi rst and foremost on the purposes of government, or what economists quaintly call " the allocation of resources. " It's silly to debate whether investing in a $100-million bridge creates more jobs than a $100-million tax cut if we need the bridge! The Amer-ican Society of Civil Engineers has long documented the crumbling state of U.S. infrastructure and the pressing need for $2.2 trillion in investments for our well-being and competitiveness. Government spending and taxation affect the distribution of income demographically and temporally. America ranks 22nd out of 23 high-income countries in public social outlays as a percentage of national income (ahead only of Ireland) for health, pensions, income support and other social services. Our political discourse tends to focus on the middle class and neglect the poor, whereas our tax and spending policies often benefi t the wealthy. As a result, the U.S. has the largest poverty rate, income inequality and per-capita prison population of any high-income nation, as well as the worst health conditions. The timing of tax cuts and spending increases also affects the well-being of today's generation versus future ones. The U.S. has a chronic fi scal defi cit because federal taxation, at around 18 percent of gross national product (GNP), is enough to cover only fi ve types of federal programs: retirement and disability, medical care, veterans' programs, defense and homeland security, and interest on the public debt. All other federal outlays—for education , diplomacy and international assistance, public administration , science and technology, sustainable energy, water and sanitation , roads, broadband, help for the poor—are in effect funded by borrowing. The chronic defi cit problem, now at least 5 percent of GNP, will tend to get much worse as the population ages and health care costs rise, until we fi nally choose to tax ourselves adequately to pay for the government we need and want (and have committed to by law in many entitlements programs). Temporary defi cits can boost the economy in a recession, although temporary income tax cuts and rebates tend to be saved rather than spent. Prolonged defi cit spending, however, would impose future burdens. The most obvious will be …

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Designing a rule-based fiscal framework in Iran economy

The existence of a structural budget deficit in Iranian economy and the lack of fiscal discipline have raised concerns about the financial stability of governments among economists. In recent decades, fiscal rules have been considered as a way to establish fiscal discipline and financial sustainability of governments around the world. In this regard, the present study seeks to design a fiscal f...

متن کامل

Assessment and Measurement of Fiscal Condition Index for Iran

This paper presents a framework for assessing the fiscal condition index (FCI) and develops a concept to assess fiscal condition of governments and implements it into Iran government as an oil exporting country. The concept consists of four dimensions ­-revenue, expenditure, budget balance, and debt structure-and each dimension has its own indicators. There are seven indicators examined namely ...

متن کامل

Fiscal Implications of Demographic Uncertainty for the United Kingdom

We assess the implications of demographic uncertainty for the United Kingdom’s fiscal position. We construct stochastic population projections and then use the framework provided by generational accounts to project government revenues and expenditures. We present stochastic paths for the budget balance over time and also evaluate the frequency distribution of the increase in taxes needed to del...

متن کامل

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction in Iran: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Achieving the goals of price stability, sustainable economic growth, and the improvement of many economic variables require coordination between the monetary and financial authorities. In this study, a new modified Keynesian stochastic dynamic equilibrium general equilibrium model is introduced for Iran and in the framework of game theory, optimal policy of fiscal and monetary authorities are d...

متن کامل

اثر تمرکززدایی مالی نسبی بر رشد اقتصاد منطقه‌ای ایران

Fiscal decentralization that is considered a transfer of responsibilities that associated with accountability to sub – national governments, increases efficiency and providing better access to public goods in the Economy. According to the five-year development plans of Iran creating and allocating structure for provincial budgeting, fiscal decentralization generally is moving in the costs...

متن کامل

A Taylor Rule for Fiscal Policy?

In times of rapid macroeconomic change it would seem useful for both fiscal and monetary policy to be modified frequently. This is true for monetary policy with monthly meetings of the Open Market Committee. It is not true for fiscal policy which mostly varies with the annual Congressional budget cycle. This paper proposes a feedback framework for analyzing the question of whether or not moveme...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Scientific American

دوره 300 4  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2009